Bills vs Patriots Best Bet: Expert Picks for Week 7

When the Buffalo Bills host the New England Patriots, sharp bettors know this rivalry often defies expectations. For the bills vs patriots best bet, focus on the underdog Patriots covering the spread.

Why the Patriots Cover

New England’s defense has quietly improved, ranking 12th against the pass. Buffalo’s offense, while explosive, has struggled with consistency on the road and in divisional games. The Patriots’ run game, led by Rhamondre Stevenson, can control the clock and keep Josh Allen off the field.

Key Betting Trends

– Patriots ATS: 4-1 in their last 5 vs AFC East opponents – Under hits: 60% of Bills-Patriots matchups stay under the total since 2020 – Weather factor: Cold, windy conditions favor the under and New England’s ground attack

Best Bet to Place

Take Patriots +7.5 with confidence. This spread gives you solid cushion while the Patriots’ defense keeps the game close. For alternative action, the Under 45.5 is worth a look given the historical tightness of this rivalry.

If you’re looking for the most reliable read on this matchup, check out my full breakdown at bills vs patriots best bet. There you’ll find advanced stats, player matchups, and live odds updates to lock in your wager.

Final Pick: Patriots +7.5 (2 units)